Vaccine effectiveness against COVID-19: A test negative case-control study in Tunisia, August 2021.

BACKGROUND: In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, multiple vaccines to protect against COVID-19 disease have been developed rapidly. Precise estimates of vaccine effectiveness (VE) vary according to studies design, outcomes measured and circulating variants. The aim of this study was to evaluate the anti-covid-19 vaccine effectiveness in Tunisia. METHODS: We conducted a matched case-control study from 2nd to 15th August 2021. Cases and controls were subjects over 60 years of age, selected from the National testing database, regardless vaccine status. A standardized questionnaire was administered for cases and controls to collect information about vaccination status. For cases, vaccination status was defined based on the number of doses received before becoming ill and excludes doses received during the previous two weeks. For matched controls, a reference date based on the case's date of illness onset was defined in order to look at the control's vaccination status before its corresponding case became ill. The odds-ratio was calculated using simple conditional logistic regression. The VE (95 % confidence intervals) was calculated as (1 - odds ratio for vaccination) × 100 %. RESULTS: A sample of 977 matched peers for age and Gender, were included between August 2, and August 15, 2021. The overall vaccine effectiveness (VE) was 70 % [95 % CI 62.8-75.8 %]. Among our sample, 68.1 % of the male population and 56.4 % of the female population were vaccinated with a VE of 73 % [95 % CI 62.9-80.3 %] and 67 % [95 % CI 55.8-75.3 %] respectively, regardless vaccine scheme (complete or incomplete). VE was higher for the age group [60-70 years[ (72.3 % [95 % CI 62.8-79.3 %]). VE was 77.6 % [95 % CI 70.9-82.8 %] to prevent both symptomatic and asymptomatic forms of the disease. Moreover, in prevention from severe forms (treated with oxygen-therapy or admission to an Intensive-care-unit) VE was 86.6 % [95 % CI 75.6-92.7 %] and 98.4 % [95 % CI [79.2-99.8 %] in prevention from COVID-19 deaths with a complete anti-Covid vaccination scheme. CONCLUSION: The results of our study showed that the anti-Covid-19 vaccines used in Tunisia are efficient to prevent both SARS-COV-2 infections and severe forms related to the disease. This study provided important data on the performance of vaccines in real-world settings that guide decisions about vaccine sustained use.

Genomic Surveillance of SARS-CoV-2: Data Analysis and Assessment of Tunisian Strategy from January 2021 to February 2022.

Due to the emergence of the SARS-CoV-2 B.1.1.7 (Alpha) variant in the UK in 2020 and its risk of increased transmission, the Ministry of Health in Tunisia implemented a sequencing surveillance strategy for SARS-CoV-2. The aim of this study was to analyze SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance data in Tunisia (January 2021-February 2022) and to assess the implementation of the sequencing strategy for SARS-CoV-2 in accordance with national recommendations and the guidance for SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance for public health goals. A descriptive study of all sequenced RT-PCR samples sequenced (January 2021-February2022). An internal audit was also done to assess the compliance against standards covering national recommendations and the Guidance for SARS-CoV-2 genomic surveillance for public health goals. A total of 12 simple or composite requirements related to the following areas were included in the audit standards: sampling (one requirements); data collection/analysis (six requirements); partnership (one requirement); and ethical considerations (one requirement). A total of 4819 samples were sent to laboratories and 4278 samples were sequenced. A total of 3648 samples were classified. Positive variants of concern (VOC) samples were 80.92%, differentiated as follows: Alpha, 40.24%; Beta, 0.24%; Gamma, 0.03%; Delta, 45.26%; and Omicron, 14.19%. Three principal phases of VOCs per ISO-week were shown: Alpha 3/2021-25/2021; Delta 26/2021-2/2022; and Omicron 3/2022-6/2022. Levels of compliance were identified; from a total of 12 requirements, 7 were considered as "not met", 4 as "partially met", and 1 as "fully met" but including not totally achieved objectives. In conclusion, the internal audit of the national SARS-CoV-2 sequencing strategy revealed an overall "not met" level of compliance. The results offered a trigger to collaborate with all stakeholders to develop a surveillance strategy for early detection and response to outbreaks caused by VOCs.

Knowledge attitudes and practices toward seasonal influenza vaccine among pregnant women during the 2018/2019 influenza season in Tunisia.

BACKGROUND: The uptake and acceptance of the influenza vaccine (IV) among pregnant women remain unknown in Tunisia despite the increased influenza-related complications and death. The present study aimed to assess the IV uptake and acceptability and to describe related knowledge and attitudes among pregnant women in Tunisia. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in 84 Tunisian healthcare facilities over a period of three months (from March to May 2019). All pregnant women aged ≥18 years who sought antenatal care in related health structures were included in this study based on a multistage self-weighted sampling. We measured knowledge and attitudes towards the IV and assessed factors related to willingness for its uptake. RESULTS: The questionnaire was completed by 1157 pregnant women. More than half of the participants (60.2%; 95% confidence interval [CI] [57.3%-63.0%]) reported awareness about the IV. Among included PW, only 4.6%; 95% CI [3.5%-6.1%] received it during their current pregnancy. However, (36.8%; 95% CI [34.0%-39.6%]) declared their willingness to receive the vaccine in the next pregnancy. Recommendation by healthcare providers, identified to be the most trustful source of information, was the main reason for acceptance. However, the intention to accept the IV by pregnant women was significantly associated with such recommendation and perceived safety and effectiveness of this vaccine. CONCLUSION: Antenatal care visits are a precious opportunity that should not be missed by health care providers and especially gynecologists to promote the IV uptake by pregnant women in Tunisia.

Influenza vaccination knowledge, attitudes, and practices among Tunisian elderly with chronic diseases.

BACKGROUND: Generally, seasonal influenza does not cause severe infection in healthy adults, but for the elderly, an infection can pose a serious health concern. Although several measures can help prevent influenza, vaccination is considered the most effective. This study aimed to assess influenza vaccine uptake among elderly with chronic diseases in Tunisia during the 2018-2019 influenza season, and to identify knowledge, attitudes and barriers associated with influenza vaccine uptake. METHODS: During influenza season of 2018-2019, we conducted a national cross-sectional study among elderly with chronic disease who were attending primary and secondary health care facilities in Tunisia. We collected data regarding practices, general knowledge and attitudes related to influenza and influenza vaccine, using a standardized questionnaire. A multivariate analysis by logistic regression was performed to assess the factors influencing willingness to receive influenza vaccine. RESULTS: Among the 1191 surveyed elderly, 19.4% (95%CI 14.1-21.9) were vaccinated during the 2018-2019 influenza season and 64.7% (61.9-67.3) expressed willingness to be vaccinated in the next season regardless of vaccination status in the 2018-2019 season. Previous vaccination in the 2018-2019 influenza season was the most significantly associated factor with willingness to receive influenza vaccine (adjusted OR = 16.5 [3.7-72.4]). Significant associations were also observed between knowledge of influenza severity for the elderly as well as for those with chronic diseases and willingness to be vaccinated (p < 0.01). Likewise, participants who were convinced by flu vaccine effectiveness and those who were not concerned about vaccine side effects were more likely to be vaccinated (p < 0.001). The main reason that may lead to vaccine acceptance was a doctor's recommendation (41.1%), while the two main reasons that may lead to vaccine refusal were concerns about side effects (71.5%) and a belief that vaccine was ineffective in averting influenza illness (33.9%). Doctors were the most trusted source for information about influenza vaccine (91.5%). CONCLUSION: Our study revealed low influenza vaccination coverage among Tunisian elderly with chronic diseases believed to be at higher risk for severe acute respiratory infections and death if infected with influenza. Treating physicians' role in promoting influenza vaccination in this high-risk group seems to be crucial.

Knowledge, attitudes and uptake related to influenza vaccine among healthcare workers during the 2018-2019 influenza season in Tunisia.

BACKGROUND: The influenza vaccine (IV) is considered the most effective strategy to prevent seasonal influenza infection and annual vaccination of healthcare workers (HCWs) is recommended by the World Health Organization given their high mixing with patients. We assessed IV uptake among HCWs in the 2018-2019 season and explored their knowledge and attitudes regarding influenza immunization. METHODS: A cross-sectional study was conducted in 150 representative Tunisian health facilities from March to May 2019. We recruited 1231 HCWs with direct patient contact using self-weighted multistage sampling. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses permitted to assess the factors associated with IV uptake in the 2018-2019 influenza season. RESULTS: Among 1231 health professionals enrolled in this study, less than half (36.6, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 33.9-39.4) received the IV at least once in their lives and only 15.3% (CI: 13.3-17.4) were vaccinated against influenza in the 2018-2019 influenza season. High confidence regarding IV efficacy, belief about the mandatory character of influenza vaccination for HCWs, and IV uptake in the 4 years preceding the 2018-2019 influenza season were independently associated with higher IV uptake by multivariate analysis. However, participants with high educational level were less likely to receive the IV than those with the lowest educational level. CONCLUSIONS: Our study revealed a low vaccination rate among Tunisian HCWs confirming the importance of tailored education programs targeting this population.

Identification of transmission chains and clusters associated with COVID-19 in Tunisia.

BACKGROUND: The aim of this study was to characterize the transmission chains and clusters of COVID-19 infection in Tunisia. METHODS: All cases were confirmed by Reverse Transcriptase Polymerase Chain Reaction of a nasopharyngeal specimen. Contact tracing is undertaken for all confirmed cases in order to identify close contacts that will be systematically screened and quarantined. Transmission chains were identified based on field investigation, contact tracing, results of screening tests and by assessing all probable mode of transmission and interactions. RESULTS: As of May 18, 2020, 656 cases out of a total of 1043 confirmed cases of Coronavirus disease 2019 belong to 127 transmission chains identified during the epidemic (mean age 42.36 years, Standard deviation 19.56 and sex ratio 0.86). The virus transmission is the most concentrated in the governorate of Tunis (31.5%), Ariana (10.2%) and Ben Arous (10.2%). Virus transmission occurred 50 times (9.72% of secondary transmission events) between two different governorates. A maximum of seven generations of secondary infection was identified, whereas 62% of these secondary infections belong the first generation. A total of 11 "super spreader" cases were identified in this investigation. Four large clusters have been identified. The evolution of secondary cases highlighted two peaks: one in 2nd April and a second in 16 th April whereas imported cases caused local transmission of virus during the early phase of the epidemic. CONCLUSION: Correct contact tracing and early active case finding is useful to identify transmission chains and source of infection in order to contain the widespread transmission in the community.

Characteristics and prognostic factors of COVID-19 among infected cases: a nationwide Tunisian analysis.

BACKGROUND: The outbreak of coronavirus disease (COVID-19) continues to constitute an international public health concern. Few data are available on the duration and prognostic factors of the disease. We aimed to study the recovery time among a Tunisian cohort of COVID-19 confirmed patients and identify the prognostic factors. METHODS: A retrospective, nationwide study was conducted from March 2 to May 8, 2020, recruiting all patients who were diagnosed with COVID-19, by RT-PCR methods, in Tunisia. Data were collected via phone call interview. Kaplan-Meir Methods and Cox proportional hazards regression models were, respectively, used to study the recovery time and estimate its prognostic factors. RESULTS: One thousand and thirty patients with COVID-19 (aged 43.2 ± 18.2 years, 526 female (51.1%)) were enrolled. Among them 141 (14.8%) were healthcare professionals. Out of 173 patients (17.8%) admitted to the hospital, 47 were admitted in an intensive care unit. Among 827 patients who didn't require specialized care, 55.5% were self-isolated at home, while the rest were in specialized centers. Six hundred and two patients were symptomatic. A total of 634 (61.6%) patients have recovered and 45 (4.4%) patients died. The median duration of illness was estimated to be 31 days (95% CI: [29-32]). Older age (HR = 0.66, CI:[0.46-0.96], P = 0.031) and symptoms (HR = 0.61, CI:[0.43-0.81], P = 0.021) were independently associated with a delay in recovery time. Being a healthcare professional (HR = 1.52, CI: [1.10-2.08], P = 0.011) and patients in home isolation compared to isolation centers (HR = 2.99, CI: [1.85-4.83], P < 10¯3) were independently associated with faster recovery time. CONCLUSION: The duration of illness was estimated to be 1 month. However, this long estimated duration of illness may not equate to infectiousness. A particular attention must to be paid to elderly and symptomatic patients with closer monitoring.

Estimating transmission dynamics and serial interval of the first wave of COVID-19 infections under different control measures: a statistical analysis in Tunisia from February 29 to May 5, 2020.

BACKGROUND: Describing transmission dynamics of the outbreak and impact of intervention measures are critical to planning responses to future outbreaks and providing timely information to guide policy makers decision. We estimate serial interval (SI) and temporal reproduction number (Rt) of SARS-CoV-2 in Tunisia. METHODS: We collected data of investigations and contact tracing between March 1, 2020 and May 5, 2020 as well as illness onset data during the period February 29-May 5, 2020 from National Observatory of New and Emerging Diseases of Tunisia. Maximum likelihood (ML) approach is used to estimate dynamics of Rt. RESULTS: Four hundred ninety-one of infector-infectee pairs were involved, with 14.46% reported pre-symptomatic transmission. SI follows Gamma distribution with mean 5.30 days [95% Confidence Interval (CI) 4.66-5.95] and standard deviation 0.26 [95% CI 0.23-0.30]. Also, we estimated large changes in Rt in response to the combined lockdown interventions. The Rt moves from 3.18 [95% Credible Interval (CrI) 2.73-3.69] to 1.77 [95% CrI 1.49-2.08] with curfew prevention measure, and under the epidemic threshold (0.89 [95% CrI 0.84-0.94]) by national lockdown measure. CONCLUSIONS: Overall, our findings highlight contribution of interventions to interrupt transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in Tunisia.

Applying the moving epidemic method to determine influenza epidemic and intensity thresholds using influenza-like illness surveillance data 2009-2018 in Tunisia.

BACKGROUND: Defining the start and assessing the intensity of influenza seasons are essential to ensure timely preventive and control measures and to contribute to the pandemic preparedness. The present study aimed to determine the epidemic and intensity thresholds of influenza season in Tunisia using the moving epidemic method. METHODS: We applied the moving epidemic method (MEM) using the R Language implementation (package "mem"). We have calculated the epidemic and the different intensity thresholds from historical data of the past nine influenza seasons (2009-2010 to 2017-2018) and assessed the impact of the 2009-2010 pandemic year. Data used were the weekly influenza-like illness (ILI) proportions compared with all outpatient acute consultations. The goodness of the model was assessed using a cross validation procedure. RESULTS: The average duration of influenza epidemic during a typical season was 20 weeks and ranged from 11 weeks (2009-2010 season) to 23 weeks (2015-2016 season). The epidemic threshold with the exclusion of the pandemic season was 6.25%. It had a very high sensitivity of 85% and a high specificity of 69%. The different levels of intensity were established as follows: low, if ILI proportion is below 9.74%, medium below 12.05%; high below 13.27%; and very high above this last rate. CONCLUSIONS: This is the first mathematically based study of seasonal threshold of influenza in Tunisia. As in other studies in different countries, the model has shown both good specificity and sensitivity, which allows timely and accurate detection of the start of influenza seasons. The findings will contribute to the development of more efficient measures for influenza prevention and control.